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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 9
May 29, 2021 at 8pm UK
Nippert Stadium
New England Revolution

Cincinnati
0 - 1
New England


Stanko (9'), Kubo (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Buksa (70')
Buchanan (33'), Kessler (66')

Preview: FC Cincinnati vs. New England Revolution - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

FC Cincinnati will look to earn their first victory in their new stadium on Saturday when they host the Eastern Conference-leading New England Revolution in Major League Soccer action at TQL Stadium.

The Orange and Blue scored twice in the final 20 minutes to defeat CF Montreal 2-1 for their first win of the season, while the Revs extended their unbeaten run to three games with a 3-1 win over the New York Red Bulls.


Match preview

FC Cincinnati head coach Jaap Stam reacts from the sideline on May 16, 2021© Reuters

Cincinnati got a break for the first time all season last weekend when they earned their first victory in what was probably their best performance in this current campaign.

Manager Jaap Stam set up with five defenders at the back, and it seemed to work well as they held Montreal to only four shots on target, the fewest they have allowed in a single MLS match all season.

The addition of Caleb Stanko to the backline alongside former MLS all-star Geoff Cameron looked as solid as they have been all year, which is encouraging, given that this side have conceded the most goals in the MLS with 14.

What was perhaps most impressive about their victory was that Cincy were able to earn three points after conceding the opening goal, the first time they have been able to do that since joining the league in 2019.

A win on Saturday would match the longest winning streak for this team going back to 2020, a season in which they won only four of their 23 matches in a shortened campaign because of COVID.

Things could not be going much better for manager Bruce Arena and the New England Revolution at the moment, as this team won both of their games on their recent homestand to maintain a perfect 4-0 record at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough.

Last weekend they overcame an early strike from Andres Reyes of the New York Red Bulls and scored three unanswered goals to extend their unbeaten streak to three and win their first game of the campaign after conceding the opening goal.

Their joint top-goalscorer from 2020, Gustavo Bou had perhaps his best game of this season the last time out, scoring the equaliser and playing a big part in the insurance marker from Adam Buksa.

That early goal also seemed to wake up what has been a strong Revs defence through much of 2021, as they limited the Red Bulls to just two shots on target while firing a total of 11 shots themselves throughout the entire match.

As good as they have been throughout much of the season up until now, Arena is quick to point out that they have only played seven games, adding that they will assess the season when it is over.

FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W

New England Revolution Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W



Team News

New England Revolution head coach Bruce Arena on May 8, 2021© Reuters

Cincinnati centre-back Gustavo Vallecilla finally got his visa situation figured out and significantly impacted their last match with a solid defensive game while scoring the winning goal.

Geoff Cameron has made his presence felt early into his Cincinnati career, earning a spot in the MLS Team of the Week for his performance last Saturday.

Tom Pettersson continues to struggle with Achilles tendon problems, Kranko Kovacevic has a muscle injury, and Maikel van der Werff is nursing a groin injury.

Luis Caicedo is the only injury concern for the New England Revolution heading into this match.

He is still suffering from a leg injury and will likely miss another game as a result.

New England locked up playmaker Carles Gil earlier this week, with the league-leader in assists and key passes re-signing with the Revs until 2024.

FC Cincinnati possible starting lineup:
Vermeer; Matarrita, Vallecilla, Cameron, Stanko, Gyau; Acosta, Cruz, Kubo; Brenner, Barreal

New England Revolution possible starting lineup:
Turner; Bye, Farrell, Bell, Jones; Polster, Kaptoum; Buchanan, Gil, Traustason; Bou


SM words green background

We say: FC Cincinnati 0-2 New England Revolution

The New England defence have been stingy as ever, allowing only three efforts on target in their previous three matches against some strong opponents.

On the other hand, Cincinnati have allowed 10 or more shots on target twice already this season, and they do not have anyone in midfield who can match the skill and creativity of the Revs' Carles Gil.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 58.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 18.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-0 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for New England Revolution in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Cincinnati vs New England

FC Cincinnati
20.6%
Draw
11.8%
New England Revolution
67.6%
34
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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