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Israeli Premier League | Gameweek 11
Dec 23, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Teddi Malcha Stadium

Beitar Jerusalem
4 - 4
Be'er Sheva

Yona (31'), Shua (40'), Morozov (43'), Shamir (80' og.)
Muzi (54'), Morozov (68')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Turgeman (8'), Badash (52' pen.), Hatuel (58'), Stoyanov (86')
Lopes (62')
Coverage of the Israeli Premier League clash between Beitar Jerusalem and Hapoel Be'er Sheva.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maccabi Netanya 0-3 Beitar Jerusalem
Wednesday, December 20 at 5.45pm in Israeli Premier League
Last Game: Be'er Sheva 0-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Wednesday, December 20 at 6.30pm in Israeli Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Beitar Jerusalem had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Beitar JerusalemDrawHapoel Be'er Sheva
34.59% (-0.70999999999999 -0.71) 26.72% (0.112 0.11) 38.69% (0.601 0.6)
Both teams to score 51.67% (-0.45200000000001 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.65% (-0.529 -0.53)53.35% (0.533 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.11% (-0.451 -0.45)74.89% (0.45400000000001 0.45)
Beitar Jerusalem Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68% (-0.702 -0.7)29.32% (0.704 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.7% (-0.869 -0.87)65.29% (0.873 0.87)
Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.11% (0.088999999999999 0.09)26.89% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.79% (0.118 0.12)62.2% (-0.116 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Beitar Jerusalem 34.59%
    Hapoel Be'er Sheva 38.68%
    Draw 26.72%
Beitar JerusalemDrawHapoel Be'er Sheva
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.79% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-0 @ 5.93% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 34.59%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.88% (0.164 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 10.35% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 8.34% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.8% (0.175 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.65% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.98% (0.084 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 38.68%

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