Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 35.99%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (11.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Huesca in this match.