La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 16

Jan 7, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Iberoamericano 2010

Mallorca
1 - 0
Valladolid

Prats (90+4')
Valjent (31'), Copete (61')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fresneda (61'), Perez (69'), Kenedy (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Mallorca and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mallorca

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Pontevedra 0-2 Mallorca
Wednesday, January 4 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Valladolid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Valladolid
Wednesday, January 4 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Mallorca 1-1 Real Valladolid

Valladolid have won three of the last four meetings between these two sides in La Liga, but it is difficult to back the visitors to triumph here considering their away record this term. Mallorca have only won twice at home in the league this season, though, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mallorca in this match.

Result
Mallorca	Draw	Real Valladolid
36.55% ( 0.04)	27.71% ( -0.01)	35.74% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 48.69% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.85% (

0.06)

57.15% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.99% (

0.04)

78.01% (

-0.05)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.03% (

0.06)

29.97% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.92% (

0.07)

66.08% (

-0.07)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.52% (

0.01)

30.48% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.31% (

0.01)

66.69% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Mallorca 36.55%

Real Valladolid 35.73%

Draw 27.7%

Mallorca	Draw	Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 11% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 36.55%	1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.7%	0-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.73%