MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 00:23:38| >> :120:21278:21278:
Real Sociedad logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 29, 2023 at 8pm UK
Reale Arena
Red Bull Salzburg

Real Sociedad
0 - 0
Salzburg


Elustondo (38')
FT

Dedic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Real Sociedad and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salzburg 3-2 Hartberg
Saturday, November 25 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

We said: Real Sociedad 3-1 Red Bull Salzburg

Real Sociedad have been arguably the revelation of this Champions League campaign so far, sealing progression after just four games, and will hope for a favour from Benfica to boost their chances of winning the group heading into a matchday six encounter with Inter. Salzburg dropping into the Europa League would give them a huge chance to be competitive, but it is likely to go down to the final matchday, as it will be a big ask for them to get a result here given Real's form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawRed Bull Salzburg
34.15% (0.016000000000005 0.02) 25.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 40.19% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (0.0049999999999955 0)48.95% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (0.0040000000000013 0)71.04% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)27.46% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05% (0.016000000000005 0.02)62.95% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)24.07% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.65% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)58.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 34.15%
    Red Bull Salzburg 40.19%
    Draw 25.66%
Real SociedadDrawRed Bull Salzburg
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 7.86% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 5.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.38% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.15%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 9.41% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.7% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.66%
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 40.19%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Salzburg

Real Sociedad
87.1%
Draw
7.8%
Red Bull Salzburg
5.2%
116
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Salzburg
0-2
Real Sociedad

Solet (41'), Pavlovic (76'), Struber (77'), Baidoo (88')
Oyarzabal (7'), Mendez (27')
Le Normand (15'), Mendez (59')
Feb 22, 2018 8.05pm
Round of 32
Salzburg
2-1
Real Sociedad
Dabbur (10'), Berisha (74' pen.)
Schlager (9'), Dabbur (32')
Navas (28')
Navas (24'), Illarramendi (90')
Navas (71')
Feb 15, 2018 6pm
Round of 32
Real Sociedad
2-2
Salzburg
Odriozola (57'), Januzaj (80')
Rulli (28'), Illarramendi (36'), Moreno (41'), Prieto (72'), Elustondo (83')
Oyarzabal (27' og.), Minamino (90')
Hee-Chan (41'), Ramalho (60'), Samassekou (62'), Yabo (74'), Caleta-Car (79'), Dabbur (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!