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Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Blackpool

Carlisle
0 - 1
Blackpool


Harris (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dembele (1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 1-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Carlisle United 0-2 Blackpool

Blackpool may have lost their last two away matches, but we think that the Tangerines will have the quality required to claim a relatively comfortable victory over League One's basement side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 60.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 17.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Blackpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Blackpool.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBlackpool
17.61% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 22.09% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 60.3% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 50.39% (-0.145 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.63% (-0.189 -0.19)47.37% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.41% (-0.174 -0.17)69.59% (0.17 0.17)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.48% (-0.116 -0.12)40.52% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.87% (-0.104 -0.1)77.13% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.72% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)15.28% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.02% (-0.145 -0.15)43.98% (0.141 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 17.61%
    Blackpool 60.29%
    Draw 22.08%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBlackpool
1-0 @ 5.59% (0.026 0.03)
2-1 @ 4.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 2.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 17.61%
1-1 @ 10.5% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.19% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.08%
0-1 @ 11.63% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 10.92% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 6.18% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.21% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.9% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.09% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 60.29%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Blackpool

Carlisle United
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Blackpool
100%
5
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Blackpool
3-0
Carlisle
Lyons (22'), Rhodes (67', 90+5')

Barclay (5'), McGeouch (43'), Robinson (88')
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Carlisle
0-1
Blackpool
Mitchell (38')
Oct 15, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
2-1
Blackpool
Loft (45'), Carroll (87')
Mellish (38'), Carroll (69')
Gray (25' og.)
Spearing (74')
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
Carlisle
1-4
Blackpool
Ibehre (69')
Raynes (64')
Potts (33'), Flores (56'), Odelusi (83'), Delfouneso (86')
Daniel (50'), Robertson (62'), Matt (89')
Sep 17, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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