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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 60.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Blackpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Blackpool.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Blackpool |
17.61% ( -0) | 22.09% ( 0.04) | 60.3% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.39% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.63% ( -0.19) | 47.37% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.41% ( -0.17) | 69.59% ( 0.17) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.48% ( -0.12) | 40.52% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.87% ( -0.1) | 77.13% ( 0.1) |
Blackpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.72% ( -0.08) | 15.28% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.02% ( -0.15) | 43.98% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Blackpool |
1-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 4.75% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.61% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.08% | 0-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 10.92% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.84% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 60.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |