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Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Blackpool

Carlisle
0 - 1
Blackpool


Harris (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dembele (1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 1-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Carlisle United 0-2 Blackpool

Blackpool may have lost their last two away matches, but we think that the Tangerines will have the quality required to claim a relatively comfortable victory over League One's basement side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 60.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 17.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Blackpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Blackpool.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBlackpool
17.61% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 22.09% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 60.3% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 50.39% (-0.145 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.63% (-0.189 -0.19)47.37% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.41% (-0.174 -0.17)69.59% (0.17 0.17)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.48% (-0.116 -0.12)40.52% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.87% (-0.104 -0.1)77.13% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.72% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)15.28% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.02% (-0.145 -0.15)43.98% (0.141 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 17.61%
    Blackpool 60.29%
    Draw 22.08%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBlackpool
1-0 @ 5.59% (0.026 0.03)
2-1 @ 4.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 2.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 17.61%
1-1 @ 10.5% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.19% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.08%
0-1 @ 11.63% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 10.92% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 6.18% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.21% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.9% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.09% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 60.29%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Blackpool

Carlisle United
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Blackpool
100%
5
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Blackpool
3-0
Carlisle
Lyons (22'), Rhodes (67', 90+5')

Barclay (5'), McGeouch (43'), Robinson (88')
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Carlisle
0-1
Blackpool
Mitchell (38')
Oct 15, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
2-1
Blackpool
Loft (45'), Carroll (87')
Mellish (38'), Carroll (69')
Gray (25' og.)
Spearing (74')
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
Carlisle
1-4
Blackpool
Ibehre (69')
Raynes (64')
Potts (33'), Flores (56'), Odelusi (83'), Delfouneso (86')
Daniel (50'), Robertson (62'), Matt (89')
Sep 17, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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