UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Sep 25, 2022 at 5pm UK

Slovakia
1 - 1
Belarus

Zreľak (65')
Pekarik (39')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bakhar (45')
Bakhar (32'), Pechenin (41'), Klimovich (45+4'), Khadarkevich (59'), Bocherov (80')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Slovakia and Belarus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovakia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Slovakia 1-2 Azerbaijan
Thursday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Belarus	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Belarus

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Kazakhstan 2-1 Belarus
Thursday, September 22 at 3pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Belarus	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

We expect Slovakia to earn their first win of the Calzona era, but it is unlikely to be pretty. Belarus will not want to go down without a fight, and they are rarely heavily beaten despite their poor form of late. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 54.42%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Belarus win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Slovakia	Draw	Belarus
54.42% ( -0.33)	21.78% ( 0.09)	23.8% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 61.3% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.42% (

-0.17)

37.57% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.19% (

-0.18)

59.81% (

0.18)

Slovakia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.14% (

-0.16)

13.86% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.75% (

-0.32)

41.24% (

0.32)

Belarus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.16% (

0.1)

28.84% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.3% (

0.12)

64.69% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Slovakia 54.42%

Belarus 23.8%

Draw 21.78%

Slovakia	Draw	Belarus
2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.58% Total : 54.42%	1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.78%	1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.33% Total : 23.8%