Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Under-23s win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-23s had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.21%) and 3-1 (5.15%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace Under-23s would win this match.
