Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-23s win with a probability of 58.26%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-23s had a probability of 21.05% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 1-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 1-2 (5.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-23s would win this match.