Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-23s win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Reading Under-23s had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.08%) and 0-2 (5.48%). The likeliest Reading Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.