Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-23s win with a probability of 74.13%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 10.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-23s win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-3 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Sunderland Under-23s win it was 2-1 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-23s would win this match.