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Attendance: 11,669
QPR logo
Championship | Gameweek 35
Feb 25, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 
Derby logo

2-1

Hall (34'), Chair (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Waghorn (43')

Preview: Queens Park Rangers vs. Derby County - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and projected lineups.

Queens Park Rangers welcome Derby County to Loftus Road on Tuesday night in a battle of two Championship mid-table outfits.

The West London club played out a drab draw with Nottingham Forest on Saturday, while Wayne Rooney's panenka was the highlight as the Rams drew with Fulham at Pride Park.


Match preview

Derby County's Wayne Rooney in action against Fulham in the Championship on February 21, 2020© Reuters

QPR might be the third-highest scorers in the Championship this season but they have drawn a blank in three of their last four league games.

Mark Warburton's men were particularly toothless against Forest, largely being restricted to half chances, but the bright spark for them was, once again, Ebere Eze.

The 21-year-old, who has scored 11 goals for the club this season, was at the heart of everything good they were able to produce and they will be relying on him to deliver the goods against a Derby side who are prone to getting caught by pace on the counter.

Should Warburton's men pick up a win in midweek, they will move above Phillip Cocu's side in the table.

The last match between these teams finished 1-1 and you have to go back to 2016 for the last time that Derby tasted defeat in this fixture.

Rooney's arrival in January has sparked an improvement in the Rams' performances, with the former England captain pulling the strings behind the striker, chipping in with goals and creating more opportunities for the likes of Tom Lawrence and Martyn Waghorn.

The former Manchester United striker's ability with the dead ball has also proved crucial and it could again on Tuesday against a QPR outfit who have struggled against more physically imposing teams.

Derby have not won in three but taking all three points back up north on Tuesday night would help keep their faint play-off hopes alive.

Queens Park Rangers competition form: LLLDWD

Derby County competition form: LWWLDD
Derby County form (all competitions): WWWLDD


Team News

Duane Holmes celebrates equalising for Derby County on January 11, 2020© Reuters

QPR have a fully-fit squad for Tuesday night's game after they came through the game with Forest unscathed but Warburton may be tempted to make a couple of changes.

Angel Rangel has perfomed strongly at right-back since returning from injury but the veteran Spaniard may be rested, with Todd Kane the obvious candidate to deputise for him.

Ilias Chair has provided energy and pace from the bench in recent games and the youngster may be preferred to Marc Pugh on the left.

Derby remain without the services of Tom Huddlestone, Duane Holmes, Krystian Bielik and George Evans for this game.

Andre Wisdom managed the full 90 minutes against Fulham despite being a doubt but he could be rested here to prevent a recurrence of his injury problems.

Queens Park Rangers possible starting lineup:
Kelly; Kane, Hall, Barbet, Manning; Ball, Cameron; Osayi-Samuel, Eze, Chair; Hugill

Derby County possible starting lineup:
Hamer; Bogle, Davies, Clarke, Forsyth; Bird, Shinnie; Jozefzoon, Rooney, Lawrence; Waghorn


Sports Mole Logo

We say: QPR 1-2 Derby County

Both sides have been impossibly hard to predict this season but Derby look the more impressive of the two and QPR's issues up front look set to continue on Tuesday night.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 45.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for had a probability of 27.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a win it was 0-1 (9.59%).


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Derby County's Wayne Rooney in action against Fulham in the Championship on February 21, 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
2Sunderland1695226121432
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
4Burnley168621961330
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
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23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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