Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
