Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adana Demirspor win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adana Demirspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adana Demirspor would win this match.
