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Torino logo
Serie A | Gameweek 27
Jun 23, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Udinese logo

Torino
1 - 0
Udinese

Belotti (16')
Meite (18'), Edera (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fofana (64'), De Paul (85')

Preview: Torino vs. Udinese - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Torino and Udinese, including team news and predicted lineups.

Two sides badly out of form and at risk of Serie A relegation meet at the Stadio Olimpico on Tuesday as Torino play host to Udinese.

Torino are winless in seven league matches and are three points above the dropzone, level on points with a Udinese side who are themselves without a win in seven outings.


Match preview

Torino may be winless in seven, but they did at least bring an end to a six match losing streak on Saturday with a 1-1 draw against Parma.

Juraj Kucka cancelled out Nicolas N'Koulou's opener, but the strugglers squandered a great chance to claim all three points as Andrea Belotti missed a second-half penalty.

The point does at least leave Il Toro three points clear of the bottom three with 12 matches to play, starting with Tuesday's huge showdown against fellow out-of-form side Udinese.

While Torino have taken one point from the last 21 on offer, Udinese have taken four from the same number of matches.

The Bianconeri drew four matches in a row prior to the coronavirus-enforced shutdown - only once in their history have they registered a longer such run - most recently playing out a stalemate with Fiorentina on March 8.

Torino defender Armando Izzo in action with Inter Milan striker Lautaro Martinez in Serie A on January 27, 2019© Reuters

Luca Gotti, placed in caretaker charge in November, will know the importance of turning draws into wins if his side are to climb clear of danger.

However, the visitors have picked up only nine points away from home this season, which is the worst return in the Italian top flight.

Udinese have also managed just 21 goals home and away this term - their lowest total at this stage of a Serie A campaign since 1986-87, when they were relegated.

The White and Blacks did prevail in the reverse fixture eight months ago thanks to Stefano Okaka's first-half goal, but that is the only time they have got the better of Torino in their last eight league games.

Torino's Serie A form: LLLLLD
Torino's form (all competitions): LLLLLD

Udinese's Serie A form: LLDDDD


Team News

Sebastian Prodl in action for Watford on July 27, 2019© Reuters

Udinese are without former Watford defender Sebastian Prodl for Tuesday's match because of a knee injury.

Jens Stryger Larsen is carrying a wrist injury, meanwhile, but is expected to play through the pain barrier until the end of the season.

Okaka, on target in the reverse fixture, and four-goal Kevin Lasagna are likely to lead the line for the visitors.

Torino are hopeful of having Cristian Ansaldi and Simone Verdi back from calf and thigh injuries respectively.

Central midfielder Daniele Baselli is Longo's only confirmed absentee, having sprained the ligaments in his right knee.

Belotti has scored four goals against Udinese in Serie A, although none has arrived in his last three games against them.

Torino possible starting lineup:
Sirigu; De Silvestri, Izzo, Nkoulou, Bremer; Edera, Meite, Rincon, Aina; Zaza, Belotti

Udinese possible starting lineup:
Musso; Stryger-Larsen, Becao, Troost-Ekong, Nuytinck, Sema; De Paul, Mandragora, Fofana; Okaka, Lasagna


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Torino 1-1 Udinese

Both sides badly struggled for wins before the three-month hiatus, and Torino picked up from where they left off with Saturday's draw against Parma. Three points will be the target for the struggling sides, but we are expecting the spoils to be shared.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Fiorentina1384127101728
4Napoli128221991026
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino134361619-315
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15CagliariCagliari132561424-1011
16Genoa132561124-1311
17Como132471325-1210
18Monza131661116-59
19Lecce12237521-169
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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