Under-20s World Cup | Quarter-Finals

Jun 4, 2023 at 10pm UK

Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades

USA U20s
0 - 2
Uruguay U20s

FT(HT: 0-1)

Duarte (21'), Wynder (56' og.)
Homenchenko (82'), de Ritis (90+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Under-20 World Cup clash between USA Under-20s and Uruguay Under-20s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA Under-20s

Last Game: USA U20s 4-0 New Zealand U20s
Tuesday, May 30 at 6.30pm in Under-20 World Cup

Uruguay Under-20s

Last Game: Gambia U20s 0-1 Uruguay U20s
Thursday, June 1 at 6.30pm in Under-20 World Cup

We said: USA Under-20s 2-1 Uruguay Under-20s

As important as Rodriguez's contributions often are to the Uruguay attack, the 19-year-old has not netted once in Argentina so far, and La Celeste possess plenty of other difference-makers in the final third. The USA's magnificent run of clean sheets should therefore come to an end, but the Yanks will have had an extra two days' worth of rest and have proven potent in the final third themselves, so we have faith in Varas's side to come up trumps, end their quarter-final hoodoo and seal a spot in the final four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Under-20s win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Uruguay Under-20s had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Under-20s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Uruguay Under-20s win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
USA Under-20s	Draw	Uruguay Under-20s
46.71% ( -0.24)	24.21% ( 0.15)	29.07% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 57.75% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.52% (

-0.61)

44.48% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.15% (

-0.59)

66.85% (

0.6)

USA Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.82% (

-0.34)

19.18% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.15% (

-0.57)

50.85% (

0.57)

Uruguay Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.45% (

-0.24)

28.55% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.66% (

-0.31)

64.34% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

USA Under-20s 46.71%

Uruguay Under-20s 29.07%

Draw 24.21%

USA Under-20s	Draw	Uruguay Under-20s
2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.2% Total : 46.71%	1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.21%	1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.07%