MX23RW : Tuesday, November 19 09:33:03| >> :600:43112965:43112965:
Spain national football team
European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Jun 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 

Spain U21s
2 - 2
Ukraine U21s

Zhelizko (49' og.), Ruiz (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
V'Yunnik (43'), Sudakov (81' pen.)
Kryskiv (7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Spain Under-21s and Ukraine Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Spain U21s 1-0 Croatia U21s
Saturday, June 24 at 7.45pm in European Under-21 Championship
All competitions
Last Game: Romania U21s 0-1 Ukraine U21s
Saturday, June 24 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

We said: Spain Under-21s 2-1 Ukraine Under-21s

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, and we are expecting an entertaining fixture on Tuesday evening. Both sides will be determined to secure first position in the group, and Ukraine are certainly capable of securing the win, but we just have a feeling that Spain's quality will allow them to edge a close game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-21s win with a probability of 65.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Ukraine Under-21s had a probability of 14.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-21s win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Ukraine Under-21s win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Spain Under-21sDrawUkraine Under-21s
65.87% (0.643 0.64) 20.08% (-0.198 -0.2) 14.05% (-0.448 -0.45)
Both teams to score 48.73% (-0.51 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.61% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)45.39% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.28% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)67.72% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Spain Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.07% (0.16199999999999 0.16)12.93% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.62% (0.332 0.33)39.38% (-0.335 -0.34)
Ukraine Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.97% (-0.693 -0.69)44.03% (0.691 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.85% (-0.576 -0.58)80.15% (0.572 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Spain Under-21s 65.86%
    Ukraine Under-21s 14.05%
    Draw 20.08%
Spain Under-21sDrawUkraine Under-21s
2-0 @ 11.91% (0.19 0.19)
1-0 @ 11.64% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.034999999999998 -0.03)
3-0 @ 8.12% (0.175 0.18)
3-1 @ 6.66% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.15% (0.115 0.12)
4-1 @ 3.41% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.7% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.39% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 65.86%
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 20.08%
0-1 @ 4.67% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-2 @ 3.92% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-2 @ 1.92% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 14.05%

How you voted: Spain U21s vs Ukraine U21s

Spain Under-21s
71.9%
Draw
19.3%
Ukraine Under-21s
8.8%
57
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