MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 12:26:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Mar 2, 2024 at 1pm UK
Parque Osvaldo Roberto
Defensor

Racing
1 - 2
Defensor

Ferreira (34')
Rodriguez (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
De Los Santos (6'), Elizari (65' pen.)
Mansilla (38'), Rodriguez (90'), Cabrera (90+4')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Racing de Montevideo and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Last Game: Wanderers 0-1 Racing
Friday, February 23 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 1-0 Puerto Cabello (2-4 pen.)
Wednesday, February 14 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 46.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.

Result
Racing de MontevideoDrawDefensor Sporting
25.75% (-4.567 -4.57) 27.63% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 46.61% (4.522 4.52)
Both teams to score 45.01% (-2.814 -2.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.1% (-2.24 -2.24)59.9% (2.237 2.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.84% (-1.741 -1.74)80.16% (1.739 1.74)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.62% (-4.931 -4.93)39.38% (4.93 4.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.92% (-4.918 -4.92)76.08% (4.915 4.91)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.25% (1.29 1.29)25.75% (-1.292 -1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.32% (1.721 1.72)60.68% (-1.724 -1.72)
Score Analysis
    Racing de Montevideo 25.75%
    Defensor Sporting 46.61%
    Draw 27.62%
Racing de MontevideoDrawDefensor Sporting
1-0 @ 9.45% (-0.478 -0.48)
2-1 @ 5.97% (-0.944 -0.94)
2-0 @ 4.4% (-0.886 -0.89)
3-1 @ 1.86% (-0.601 -0.6)
3-0 @ 1.37% (-0.511 -0.51)
3-2 @ 1.26% (-0.348 -0.35)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 25.75%
1-1 @ 12.82% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 10.13% (0.815 0.82)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.471 -0.47)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.62%
0-1 @ 13.75% (1.57 1.57)
0-2 @ 9.33% (1.366 1.37)
1-2 @ 8.7% (0.208 0.21)
0-3 @ 4.22% (0.748 0.75)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.233 0.23)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.43% (0.296 0.3)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 46.61%

Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 9
Defensor
3-0
Racing
Ramirez (9' pen., 70'), Duarte (80')
Bernal (20'), Elizari (36'), Martinez (37'), Perez (50'), Dufour (64')

Lemos (12'), Urreta (39'), De Los Santos (71')
Apr 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Racing
0-1
Defensor
Balboa (54')
Oct 20, 2019 8pm
Defensor
4-0
Racing
Laquintana (26'), Pavone (54', 92'), Barros (70')

Arismendi (70')
Mar 31, 2019 8pm
Racing
4-2
Defensor
Sosa (8'), Barrios (80'), Nicolini (84'), Rodriguez (95')
Arismendi (33'), Aguilar (44')
Rodriguez (16'), Navarro (21')
Correa (15'), Alvarez (46')
Sep 16, 2018 10.30pm
Gameweek 9
Defensor
2-1
Racing
Navarro (59'), Rivero (89')
Maulella (34'), Rivero (72'), Correa (84')
Rodriguez (44')
Aguilar (40'), Ibanez (43'), Cabrera (54'), Cayetano (58')
rhs 2.0
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