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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Borussia Monchengladbach in this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Union Berlin |
40.25% ( 0.04) | 26.68% ( -0.02) | 33.07% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.51% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.58% ( 0.08) | 53.42% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.05% ( 0.07) | 74.95% ( -0.07) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.94% ( 0.06) | 26.06% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.89% ( 0.08) | 61.1% ( -0.08) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.66% ( 0.03) | 30.33% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.48% ( 0.04) | 66.52% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 40.25% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 33.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 14 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 14 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
4 | Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
5 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 9 |
9 | Heidenheim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 8 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 7 |
13 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
15 | St Pauli | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 4 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 2 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 1 |
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