La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 20, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano2 - 1Osasuna
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Getafe
Saturday, April 13 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, April 13 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 0-1 Valencia
Monday, April 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Monday, April 15 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Osasuna
This is a really tough match to call, but the signs are pointing to a stalemate here. Rayo have shared the points in eight of their 15 home league fixtures this term, including draws in three of their last four, and we can see a close fixture ending 1-1 on Saturday afternoon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 42.87%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 28.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Osasuna |
42.87% ( 0.04) | 28.77% | 28.36% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 43.68% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
