Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 21.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Villarreal in this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Valencia |
54.63% (![]() | 23.45% (![]() | 21.91% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.09% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.71% (![]() | 47.29% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.49% (![]() | 69.51% (![]() |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.81% (![]() | 17.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.54% (![]() | 47.46% (![]() |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.12% (![]() | 35.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.34% (![]() | 72.66% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 10.86% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.8% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.56% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.75% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.61% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 3.8% Total : 54.63% | 1-1 @ 11.13% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.17% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.45% | 0-1 @ 6.32% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.71% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 1.87% Total : 21.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 51 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 39 | 16 | 23 | 50 |
3 | Barcelona | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 64 | 25 | 39 | 48 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 44 |
5 | Villarreal | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 41 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 35 |
7 | Osasuna | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 31 |
9 | GironaGirona | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 31 |
10 | Mallorca | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 31 |
11 | Getafe | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 30 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 29 |
13 | Real BetisBetis | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 29 |
14 | Sevilla | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 28 |
15 | Leganes | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 24 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 23 |
17 | Valencia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 23 |
18 | Espanyol | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 23 |
19 | AlavesAlaves | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 22 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 48 | -33 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |