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Cheltenham Town
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
MK Dons

Cheltenham
0 - 1
MK Dons


Jude-Boyd (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sanders (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 3-3 Cheltenham
Saturday, March 15 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 3-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Cheltenham Town 2-1 MK Dons

Neither side have been in the strongest form ahead of this weekend, but MK Dons struggled for months under their former boss and have continued that trend with their current interim manager. On the other hand, Cheltenham will see this match as an opportunity to make up the ground on the playoff spots that they lost in recent weeks, so expect a win for the hosts on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawMK Dons
38.26% (0.177 0.18) 25.58% (0.02 0.02) 36.16% (-0.198 -0.2)
Both teams to score 55.68% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.69% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)48.31% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-0.093 -0.09)70.46% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2% (0.049000000000007 0.05)24.79% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.63% (0.070999999999998 0.07)59.37% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04% (-0.16 -0.16)25.96% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.03% (-0.217 -0.22)60.97% (0.214 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 38.26%
    MK Dons 36.16%
    Draw 25.57%
Cheltenham TownDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.26% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 38.26%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 8.68% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.85% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.67% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 36.16%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs MK Dons

Cheltenham Town
66.7%
Draw
21.2%
MK Dons
12.1%
33
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
MK Dons
3-2
Cheltenham
Gilbey (22'), Harrison (75'), Maguire (86')
Thompson-Sommers (34')
Young (6'), Miller (13')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
MK Dons
2-2
Cheltenham
Eisa (45+2', 59' pen.)
Bonds (12'), May (90+7')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Aug 30, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
MK Dons
1-2
Cheltenham
Jules (43')
Oyegoke (7'), Gyamfi (17')
May (8' pen.), Brown (54')
Raglan (12'), Horton (33'), Barkers (42')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
MK Dons
3-1
Cheltenham
Parrott (26', 85'), Eisa (28')
Boyle (89')
May (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale432113961431876
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster4321121066481875
3Bradford CityBradford4321111159401974
4Walsall4320131074532173
5AFC Wimbledon4319131155322370
6Notts County4319121263441969
7Colchester UnitedColchester431618951401166
8Grimsby Town43206175964-566
9Chesterfield4317121465501563
10Salford City431614135550562
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe431517114944562
12Swindon TownSwindon431515137061960
13Bromley431514145756159
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood431415145756157
15BarrowBarrow431511174947256
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham431412175564-954
17Gillingham431215163845-751
18Newport CountyNewport43139215170-1948
19MK Dons43138225166-1547
20Harrogate TownHarrogate431211203756-1947
21Accrington StanleyAccrington431113195167-1646
22Tranmere RoversTranmere431014193964-2544
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle431010233965-2640
24Morecambe43106273763-2636


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