MX23RW : Saturday, April 19 02:47:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Port Vale
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Morecambe

Port Vale
1 - 0
Morecambe

Curtis (89')
C (24'), Curtis (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tutonda (17'), Williams (31'), Angol (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Port Vale and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 3-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 2-2 Barrow
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Port Vale 3-1 Morecambe

Port Vale are certainly the favourites given the difference in league position, and with the hosts also winning each of the last three clashes at Vale Park, we expect another victory for the Valiants. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Port Vale.

Result
Port ValeDrawMorecambe
56.6% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 24.64% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 18.76% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Both teams to score 44.99% (-0.205 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.33% (-0.217 -0.22)55.67% (0.219 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.18% (-0.176 -0.18)76.82% (0.178 0.18)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.41% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)19.6% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.47% (-0.12 -0.12)51.53% (0.122 0.12)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.96% (-0.203 -0.2)44.04% (0.205 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.84% (-0.166 -0.17)80.16% (0.169 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 56.59%
    Morecambe 18.76%
    Draw 24.64%
Port ValeDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 14.06% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 11.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.23% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.54% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 56.59%
1-1 @ 11.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.63% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 7.08% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 18.76%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Morecambe

Port Vale
85.7%
Draw
9.5%
Morecambe
4.8%
21
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
Morecambe
0-1
Port Vale
Chislett (83')
Chislett (83'), Baker-Boatiey (85')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Morecambe
1-0
Port Vale
Major (51')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Port Vale
1-0
Morecambe
Smith (34')
Oyeleke (14'), Brisley (26'), Rodney (89')

Lavelle (34')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
Morecambe
1-0
Port Vale
Phillips (76' pen.)
Gibson (85'), O'Sullivan (90+5')

Legge (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale432113961431876
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster4321121066481875
3Bradford CityBradford4321111159401974
4Walsall4320131074532173
5AFC Wimbledon4319131155322370
6Notts County4319121263441969
7Colchester UnitedColchester431618951401166
8Grimsby Town43206175964-566
9Chesterfield4317121465501563
10Salford City431614135550562
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe431517114944562
12Swindon TownSwindon431515137061960
13Bromley431514145756159
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood431415145756157
15BarrowBarrow431511174947256
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham431412175564-954
17Gillingham431215163845-751
18Newport CountyNewport43139215170-1948
19MK Dons43138225166-1547
20Harrogate TownHarrogate431211203756-1947
21Accrington StanleyAccrington431113195167-1646
22Tranmere RoversTranmere431014193964-2544
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle431010233965-2640
24Morecambe43106273763-2636


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