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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Toronto FC

Inter Miami
3 - 1
Toronto

Gomez (43'), Redondo (53', 59')
Redondo (62'), Fray (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Etienne (80')
Etienne (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 6-1 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 3-1 Toronto

Miami have proven they can win without Messi, despite what we saw in their previous encounter, and they should be able to expose a Toronto backline that have rarely looked organised or compact this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 58.28%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 21.12% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 1-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Inter Miami in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Inter Miami.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawToronto
58.28% (1.504 1.5) 20.59% (-0.538 -0.54) 21.12% (-0.968 -0.97)
Both teams to score 61.83% (0.492 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.78% (1.289 1.29)35.22% (-1.29 -1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.76% (1.42 1.42)57.23% (-1.422 -1.42)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.05% (0.84100000000001 0.84)11.95% (-0.842 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.67% (1.758 1.76)37.33% (-1.76 -1.76)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (-0.11399999999999 -0.11)29.78% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.15% (-0.136 -0.14)65.85% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 58.28%
    Toronto 21.12%
    Draw 20.59%
Inter MiamiDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.03% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.56% (-0.244 -0.24)
3-1 @ 6.89% (0.206 0.21)
3-0 @ 5.69% (0.186 0.19)
3-2 @ 4.17% (0.112 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.66% (0.223 0.22)
4-0 @ 3.02% (0.193 0.19)
4-2 @ 2.22% (0.129 0.13)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.141 0.14)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.121 0.12)
5-2 @ 0.94% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 58.28%
1-1 @ 9.16% (-0.325 -0.32)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.56% (-0.236 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 20.59%
1-2 @ 5.55% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-1 @ 4.31% (-0.301 -0.3)
0-2 @ 2.61% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 21.12%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Toronto

Inter Miami
85.5%
Draw
11.3%
Toronto
3.2%
62
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
Oct 1, 2022 12.30am
Aug 21, 2022 1am
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
rhs 2.0
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