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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
Jun 2, 2024 at 12.30am UK
MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field
Orlando City

NY Red Bulls
1 - 0
Orlando City

Tolkin (38')
Edelman (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Angulo (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-1 Charlotte FC
Thursday, May 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 Orlando City
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 2-1 Orlando City

While Orlando City have avoided defeat in their last five league games, it is worth pointing out that all of those were against sides in the bottom half of the table in their respective Conferences. They now face a much stronger opponent in the Red Bulls, who are unbeaten at Red Bull Arena this season, and we feel they will extend their home record with another win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 55.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York Red Bulls in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for New York Red Bulls.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawOrlando City
55.34% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 23.33% (-0.311 -0.31) 21.33% (0.35 0.35)
Both teams to score 52.68% (1.479 1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.56% (1.716 1.72)47.44% (-1.709 -1.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.34% (1.571 1.57)69.66% (-1.563 -1.56)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01% (0.61699999999999 0.62)16.99% (-0.608 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.89% (1.073 1.07)47.11% (-1.066 -1.07)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.46% (1.323 1.32)36.54% (-1.315 -1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.68% (1.307 1.31)73.33% (-1.299 -1.3)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 55.34%
    Orlando City 21.33%
    Draw 23.33%
New York Red BullsDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 11% (-0.57 -0.57)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.75% (-0.298 -0.3)
3-1 @ 5.8% (0.146 0.15)
3-0 @ 5.76% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.173 0.17)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.114 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.55% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.101 0.1)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.058 0.06)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 55.34%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 6.21% (-0.454 -0.45)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.199 0.2)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.33%
0-1 @ 6.25% (-0.222 -0.22)
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.117 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.123 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 21.33%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Orlando City

New York Red Bulls
70.6%
Draw
17.6%
Orlando City
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 11.30pm
Orlando City
1-1
NY Red Bulls
Eile (89' og.)
Angulo (75')
Morgan (21' pen.)
Stroud (44'), Reyes (45+5'), Duncan (73')
Jun 4, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
0-3
Orlando City

Yearwood (30'), Reyes (45+3'), Nealis (50')
Reyes (47')
Angulo (18'), Torres (52' pen., 72')
Jansson (45+6'), Santos (90')
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
Aug 13, 2022 11pm
Apr 24, 2022 8.30pm
Orlando City
0-3
NY Red Bulls

Urso (45+3')
Luquinhas (26'), Casseres Jr (48'), Morgan (88' pen.)
Fletcher (33'), Nealis (41'), Luquinhas (42'), Morgan (42'), Coronel (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami25165456391753
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati25153744331148
3Columbus Crew23127447222543
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls251011442311141
5New York City FCNY City2511593630638
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2510783027337
7Orlando City259793938134
8Toronto2693143447-1330
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2577113536-128
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2569104542327
11CF MontrealMontreal2569103449-1527
12Nashville SCNashville2568112639-1326
13DC United2568113550-1526
14Chicago Fire2567123042-1225
15New England RevolutionNew England2372142347-2423

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy26147550361449
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles24145548301847
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake25128551341744
4Colorado RapidsColorado2612595043741
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2411584335838
6Houston DynamoHouston2410773530537
7Seattle SoundersSeattle2510783429537
8Portland TimbersPortland2510695042836
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd2596104041-133
10Austin FCAustin2587102837-931
11Dallas2586113839-130
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2666144152-1124
13St Louis City25411103246-1423
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2542193161-3014


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