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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena
New England Revolution

NY Red Bulls
4 - 2
New England

Morgan (6'), Forsberg (43' pen.), Manoel (84'), Harper (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gil (24'), Vrioni (90')
Kessler (42'), Borrero (66'), Chancalay (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 6-2 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 1-0 New England Revolution

While New England are getting some attacking pieces back, it might take those players some time to get back into game shape, while they are becoming a little too dependent on Carles Gil to create chances. The Red Bulls are much sharper defensively at home, and we expect to see a determined side that will be out to prove that their second-half performance last week was just a minor hiccup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawNew England Revolution
55.66% (0.0049999999999955 0) 22.47%21.87% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 56.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.94% (0.0039999999999978 0)43.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)65.46% (0.00099999999999056 0)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.66% (0.0039999999999907 0)15.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)44.08% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)33.55% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.8%70.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 55.66%
    New England Revolution 21.87%
    Draw 22.47%
New York Red BullsDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.17%
3-0 @ 5.65% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.37%
4-1 @ 2.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.65%
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 55.66%
1-1 @ 10.53%
2-2 @ 5.39%
0-0 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.47%
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.62%
0-2 @ 3.07%
1-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.96%
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 21.87%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
Jul 9, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
2-1
New England
Amaya (58'), Carmona (85')
Reyes (74'), Harper (75'), Duncan (82')
Bye (76')
Wood (6')
Blessing (60')
Sep 10, 2022 11pm
Apr 3, 2022 12.30am
New England
0-1
NY Red Bulls
Kessler (25'), Buksa (90+3')
Buksa (90+4')
Amaya (33'), Barlow (35'), Yearwood (45')
Amaya (73')
Jul 31, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 20
NY Red Bulls
2-3
New England
Jose Carmona Torres (8'), Gomes (63')
Casseres Jr (34'), Clark (70')
Bou (60'), Bye (84'), Buksa (90+1')
McNamara (39'), Ingvi Traustason (45+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati23153543291448
2Inter MiamiInter Miami23145451371447
3Columbus Crew21126345192642
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls2391043728937
5New York City FCNY City2311393327636
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2310582724335
7Orlando City238693537-230
8Toronto2483133244-1227
9Nashville SCNashville236892633-726
10CF MontrealMontreal236893246-1426
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2366113133-224
12DC United2458113248-1623
13Chicago Fire2357112840-1222
14New England RevolutionNew England2171132141-2022
15Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2349103741-421

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake23127448301843
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles22134544291543
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy24127544321243
4Colorado RapidsColorado2411584538738
5Portland TimbersPortland2410684839936
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2210573830835
7Seattle SoundersSeattle239773226634
8Houston DynamoHouston228773027331
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd238693638-230
10Austin FCAustin238692532-730
11Dallas2375113437-326
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2465133949-1023
13St Louis City2341093143-1222
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2342173158-2714


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