Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 20.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chesterfield in this match.