Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Southend United |
25.28% (![]() | 23.19% (![]() | 51.52% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.3% (![]() | 42.69% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.9% (![]() | 65.1% (![]() |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.57% (![]() | 30.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.37% (![]() | 66.63% (![]() |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.36% (![]() | 16.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.52% (![]() | 46.48% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Southend United |
2-1 @ 6.43% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.02% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.42% ( ![]() Other @ 2.99% Total : 25.28% | 1-1 @ 10.8% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.76% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.06% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 9.69% (![]() 0-1 @ 9.08% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.14% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.79% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.87% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 3.25% Total : 51.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 64 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 50 | 23 | 27 | 62 |
3 | York City | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 60 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Gateshead | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 55 | 36 | 19 | 52 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 48 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 45 |
8 | Rochdale | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 43 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 42 |
10 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 42 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 39 |
13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 39 |
14 | Eastleigh | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 38 |
15 | Tamworth | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 37 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 33 |
17 | Woking | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 31 |
18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 31 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 29 |
21 | Fylde | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 28 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 26 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 20 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 31 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 21 | 67 | -46 | 13 |
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