Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.26%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Maidenhead United | Draw | Chesterfield |
16.75% ( -0.08) | 21.83% ( 0) | 61.42% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 49.51% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.33% ( -0.14) | 47.67% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.13% ( -0.13) | 69.86% ( 0.13) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.26% ( -0.18) | 41.74% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.79% ( -0.16) | 78.21% ( 0.16) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.99% ( -0.03) | 15.01% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.52% ( -0.05) | 43.48% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Maidenhead United | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 5.48% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.78% Total : 16.75% | 1-1 @ 10.38% 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.83% | 0-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 11.26% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 7.12% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.28% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 61.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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