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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 12, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Porto
Arouca
3 - 2
Porto
Mujica (1'), Cristo (30' pen.), Jason (60')
Santos (39'), Jason (63'), Busquets (74')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Evanilson (9' pen.), Conceicao (86')
Cardoso (69'), Conceicao (88'), Wendell (88')
Cardoso (90+6')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Arouca
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 0-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, February 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 1-2 Porto

While Arouca are proving themselves no pushovers, Porto have regularly beaten their regional rivals in the past and are in the mood to release some frustration; following an unlucky draw and an abandoned match last week, a slim away win could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 13.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.12%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
AroucaDrawPorto
13.94% (-0.042 -0.04) 20.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 65.71% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 47.61% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)46.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)69.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.97% (-0.064 -0.06)45.03% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.04% (-0.052 -0.05)80.95% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.6% (0.016999999999996 0.02)13.39% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.68% (0.033999999999999 0.03)40.32% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 13.94%
    Porto 65.7%
    Draw 20.35%
AroucaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 3.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 1.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 13.94%
1-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 20.35%
0-2 @ 12.18% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 12.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.72% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 8.17% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.52% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-4 @ 4.11% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 1.65% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 65.7%

How you voted: Arouca vs Porto

Arouca
3.1%
Draw
8.2%
Porto
88.8%
98
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 4
Porto
1-1
Arouca
Evanilson (90+19')
Cardoso (26'), Evanilson (57'), Varela (58')
Cristo (84')
De Arruabarrena (63'), Montero (85'), Ramos (90+18')
May 8, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 31
Arouca
0-1
Porto
Marcano (44')
Jan 11, 2023 8.45pm
Round of 16
Porto
4-0
Arouca
Galeno (31'), Martinez (54', 57', 90+3')
Dec 28, 2022 9.15pm
Gameweek 14
Porto
5-1
Arouca
Otavio (1'), Taremi (18', 34', 50'), Opoku (70' og.)
Bruninho (75')
Feb 6, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 21
Arouca
0-2
Porto

Kouassi (1'), Basso (45+3'), Moreira (61'), Silva (68'), Antony (90+10')
Vitinha (54'), Mbemba (57')
Conceicao (45+6'), Pepe (53'), Sanusi (75'), Marchesin (90+3'), Eustaquio (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica23184156154158
2Sporting Lisbon22182263224156
3Porto23154438172149
4Braga23144550331746
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes23125635251041
6MoreirenseMoreirense2311572726138
7AroucaArouca241041043331034
8FamalicaoFamalicao226882328-526
9SC FarenseFarense2375113032-226
10Casa Pia2375112235-1326
11Gil Vicente2375113437-326
12BoavistaBoavista2366113044-1424
13Estrela Amadora2357112335-1222
14Estoril PraiaEstoril2364133943-422
15Rio AveRio Ave2341092534-922
16PortimonensePortimonense2364132449-2522
17ChavesChaves2446142454-3018
18Vizela2338122347-2417

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