Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 85.26%. A draw has a probability of 10.3% and a win for Estrela Amadora has a probability of 4.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (12.83%) and 4-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (4.92%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it is 0-1 (1.67%).
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
85.26% ( -0.13) | 10.34% ( 0.04) | 4.39% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 40.45% ( 0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.06% ( 0.27) | 31.93% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.51% ( 0.32) | 53.48% ( -0.32) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.77% ( 0.03) | 5.22% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.35% ( 0.08) | 20.65% ( -0.08) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
42.68% ( 0.58) | 57.31% ( -0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.78% ( 0.32) | 89.22% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
2-0 @ 13.04% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 12.83% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.05) 6-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.04) 7-0 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 3.79% Total : 85.25% | 1-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.41% Total : 10.34% | 0-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.35% Total : 4.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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