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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Chaves

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 0
Chaves

Gyokeres (23' pen., 37'), Paulinho (55')
Hjulmand (45+7'), Esgaio (48')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sylla (82')
Pius (45+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, May 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 0-1 Famalicao
Friday, May 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Chaves

Sporting Lisbon have enjoyed a terrific campaign, storming to the league title with an eight-point lead over their closest rival. Amorim's side will look to close out the season on a high and we see them doing just that against a deflated Chaves side who will be playing in the second tier next season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 83.47%. A draw had a probability of 10.4% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 6.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 3-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.45%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-2 (1.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawChaves
83.47% (-0.44199999999999 -0.44) 10.36% (0.253 0.25) 6.17% (0.1869 0.19)
Both teams to score 55.51% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.34% (-0.584 -0.58)21.66% (0.583 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.57% (-0.813 -0.81)40.43% (0.811 0.81)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.29% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)3.71% (0.1571 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.06% (-0.523 -0.52)15.94% (0.522 0.52)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)42.35% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.26% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)78.74% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 83.47%
    Chaves 6.17%
    Draw 10.36%
Sporting LisbonDrawChaves
3-0 @ 9.36% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.53% (0.147 0.15)
3-1 @ 8.04% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 7.71% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.33% (0.124 0.12)
4-1 @ 6.62% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.18% (0.156 0.16)
5-0 @ 5.08% (-0.112 -0.11)
5-1 @ 4.36% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.46% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.85% (-0.026 -0.03)
6-0 @ 2.79% (-0.099 -0.1)
6-1 @ 2.39% (-0.085 -0.09)
5-2 @ 1.87% (-0.042 -0.04)
7-0 @ 1.31% (-0.064 -0.06)
7-1 @ 1.13% (-0.056 -0.06)
6-2 @ 1.03% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 83.47%
1-1 @ 4.45% (0.132 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.15% (0.053 0.05)
0-0 @ 1.57% (0.067 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 10.36%
1-2 @ 1.91% (0.057 0.06)
0-1 @ 1.35% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 0.9% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 6.17%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Chaves

Sporting Lisbon
88.0%
Draw
4.0%
Chaves
8.0%
25
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 17
Chaves
0-3
Sporting Lisbon

Correia (62')
Paulinho (44'), Trincao (52'), Goncalves (56')
Coates (71'), Gyokeres (90+1')
Feb 20, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 21
Chaves
2-3
Sporting Lisbon
Teixeira (34'), Hernandez (90+6')
Goncalves (8' pen., 61'), Santos (70')
Aug 27, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 4
Sporting Lisbon
0-2
Chaves

Edwards (36'), Ugarte (45+3'), Goncalves (66'), Morita (73'), Coates (90+4')
Vitoria (60'), Juninho (63')
Pina (67'), Euller (82')
Fernandes (90+4')
Mar 30, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 27
Chaves
1-3
Sporting Lisbon
Luis (60')
Jefferson (34'), Luis (40'), Niltinho (99'), Martins (99')
Jefferson (52')
Phellype (23', 101'), Fernandes (80')
Gudelj (37'), Gaspar (99')
Ristovski (87')
Nov 11, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 10
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Chaves
Dost (23', 86' pen.)
Gudelj (45')
Niltinho (81')
William (83'), Paulinho (94')
Gallo (71')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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