Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Mirren in this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Motherwell |
42.46% (![]() | 27.82% | 29.72% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.92% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.31% | 58.69% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.77% | 79.23% (![]() |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.67% (![]() | 27.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.22% (![]() | 62.77% (![]() |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.55% (![]() | 35.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.79% (![]() | 72.21% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 12.56% 2-1 @ 8.45% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.15% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 1.88% Total : 42.45% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.69% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 6.76% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.21% 1-3 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.06% Total : 29.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 29 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 87 | 17 | 70 | 75 |
2 | RangersRangers | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 59 |
3 | Hibernian | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 43 |
4 | Aberdeen | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 42 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 41 |
6 | Motherwell | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 37 |
7 | Hearts | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 36 |
8 | Ross County | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 35 |
9 | St Mirren | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 34 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 31 |
11 | Dundee | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 28 |
12 | St Johnstone | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 25 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |