Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Parma had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Parma |
48.09% | 24.94% | 26.97% |
Both teams to score 53.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.02% | 48.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.93% | 71.07% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.6% | 20.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.17% | 52.83% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.57% | 32.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.05% | 68.96% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Parma |
1-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 9.41% 2-0 @ 8.36% 3-1 @ 4.99% 3-0 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.72% Total : 48.08% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.45% 1-2 @ 6.67% 0-2 @ 4.19% 1-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.59% Total : 26.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Inter Milan | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 58 | 23 | 35 | 54 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 50 |
4 | Lazio | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 45 |
5 | Juventus | 24 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 43 |
6 | Fiorentina | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 42 |
7 | AC Milan | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 38 |
8 | Bologna | 23 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 38 |
9 | Roma | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 34 |
10 | Udinese | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 30 |
11 | Torino | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 28 |
12 | Genoa | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 27 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 24 |
14 | Lecce | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 24 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 26 | 53 | -27 | 23 |
16 | Como | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 22 |
17 | Empoli | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 21 |
18 | Parma | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 24 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |