AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Feb 15, 2024 at 10am UK

Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium

Ulsan
3 - 0
Ventforet Kofu

(Ulsan Hyundai win 5-1 on aggregate)

Min-Kyu (37', 45' pen.), Seol (61')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Utaka (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between Ulsan Hyundai and Ventforet Kofu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ulsan Hyundai

Last Game: Ulsan 2-2 Kawasaki
Tuesday, December 12 at 10am in AFC Champions League

Ventforet Kofu

Last Game: Buriram Utd 2-3 Ventforet Kofu
Tuesday, December 12 at 9.30am in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ulsan Hyundai win with a probability of 52.22%. A win for Ventforet Kofu had a probability of 24.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ulsan Hyundai win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Ventforet Kofu win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ulsan Hyundai would win this match.

Result
Ulsan Hyundai	Draw	Ventforet Kofu
52.22% ( -0.36)	22.89% ( -0.01)	24.89% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 58.63% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.33% (

0.41)

41.67% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.93% (

0.41)

64.07% (

-0.41)

Ulsan Hyundai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.98% (

0.02)

16.02% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.64% (

0.04)

45.36% (

-0.04)

Ventforet Kofu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.81% (

0.52)

30.19% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.65% (

0.62)

66.35% (

-0.61)

Score Analysis

Ulsan Hyundai 52.22%

Ventforet Kofu 24.89%

Draw 22.88%

Ulsan Hyundai	Draw	Ventforet Kofu
2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 52.22%	1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.88%	1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.04% Total : 24.89%