Atletico GO
2 - 1
Bahia

Freitas (60' pen.), Janderson (90+5')
Eder (81'), Freitas (83'), Baralhas (89'), Toro (90+5'), Janderson (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodallega (71')
Mugni (54'), de Lucca (78'), Capixaba (83')
Capixaba (90+7')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Goianiense and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Atletico Goianiense 1-0 Bahia

With the exception of Gilberto, neither side are particularly sharp in the final third, but Goianiense are a lot better at shutting down the opposition in transition than Bahia, who have not scored in four straight road games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 49.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.

Result
Atletico Goianiense	Draw	Bahia
49.09%	27.54%	23.36%

Both teams to score 43.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.83%

61.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.88%

81.12%

Atletico Goianiense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.88%

25.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.18%

59.82%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.67%

42.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.28%

78.72%

Score Analysis

Atletico Goianiense 49.08%

Bahia 23.36%

Draw 27.53%

Atletico Goianiense	Draw	Bahia
1-0 @ 14.68% 2-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 8.72% 3-0 @ 4.67% 3-1 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.61% 4-1 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.12% Total : 49.08%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 3.75% Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.53%	0-1 @ 9.14% 1-2 @ 5.43% 0-2 @ 3.93% 1-3 @ 1.56% 0-3 @ 1.13% 2-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.1% Total : 23.36%