The Maracana is one of the most intimidating environments to play in, and we believe that will be too much for Sampaio to handle, allowing Fluzao to win handily. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 68.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sampaio Correa had a probability of 12.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Sampaio Correa win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Fluminense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fluminense.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Sampaio Correa
68.11% ( -0)	19.24% ( -0.06)	12.65% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 47.57% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.14% (

0.43)

44.86% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.78% (

0.41)

67.22% (

-0.41)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.86% (

0.13)

12.14% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.26% (

0.26)

37.73% (

-0.27)

Sampaio Correa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.14% (

0.37)

45.86% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.39% (

0.29)

81.61% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 68.09%

Sampaio Correa 12.65%

Draw 19.24%

Fluminense	Draw	Sampaio Correa
2-0 @ 12.37% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.59% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.21% Total : 68.09%	1-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.76% Total : 19.24%	0-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.15% Total : 12.65%