Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 29, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Jocay

Delfin
4 - 3
Real Tomayapo

Messiniti (4'), Elordi (22'), Mino (75'), Enrique Angulo (76')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Agustin Graneros (1'), Jesus Noble (11'), Rioja (32')
Rioja (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Delfin and Real Tomayapo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Delfin

Last Game: Belgrano 1-1 Delfin
Thursday, May 9 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Real Tomayapo

Last Game: Belgrano 1-0 Real Tomayapo
Wednesday, May 15 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Delfin win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Real Tomayapo had a probability of 15.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Delfin win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.54%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Real Tomayapo win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Delfin would win this match.

Result
Delfin	Draw	Real Tomayapo
61.35% ( 0.35)	23.02% ( -0.17)	15.63% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 43.74% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.83% (

0.36)

54.17% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.42% (

0.3)

75.58% (

-0.3)

Delfin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.72% (

0.25)

17.28% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.38% (

0.44)

47.62% (

-0.44)

Real Tomayapo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.88% (

-0.02)

47.12% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.42% (

-0.02)

82.58% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Delfin 61.34%

Real Tomayapo 15.63%

Draw 23.01%

Delfin	Draw	Real Tomayapo
1-0 @ 14.29% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 12.54% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 61.34%	1-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( 0) Other @ 0.57% Total : 23.01%	0-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 15.63%