Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Dec 12, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Norberto Tomaghello
Defensa2 - 1Lanus
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Defensa y Justicia and Lanus.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 25.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Lanus |
| 50.43% | 24.54% | 25.03% |
| Both teams to score 53.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
