Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
FC Eindhoven	Draw	Willem II
42.36% ( 0.48)	25.17% ( 0)	32.48% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 56.27% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.8% (

-0.15)

47.2% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.57% (

-0.14)

69.43% (

0.14)

FC Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.77% (

0.16)

22.23% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.34% (

0.24)

55.66% (

-0.24)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.35% (

-0.37)

27.64% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.81% (

-0.48)

63.19% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

FC Eindhoven 42.36%

Willem II 32.48%

Draw 25.17%

FC Eindhoven	Draw	Willem II
1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 42.36%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.17%	0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.89% Total : 32.48%