We said: Real Betis 2-1 Zenit St Petersburg
Real Betis have been finding the net with ease of late, having scored 23 goals in their previous eight games in all competitions, and with Zenit pressing for victory on Thursday, we expect Real Betis to take advantage of any gaps left in the defence to claim a narrow win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Zenit St Petersburg had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.