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League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Cambridge
1 - 2
Bristol Rovers

Smith (5')
Seddon (41'), Digby (48'), Lankester (89')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Coburn (21'), Sinclair (29')
Connolly (12'), Loft (14'), Coutts (56'), Marquis (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cambridge United 0-3 Bristol Rovers

Cambridge United might be able to boast the home advantage this weekend, but that does not mean that they will be the favourites heading into this match. The visitors have been in good form throughout the season, and their attacking quality should be enough to get the job done on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
35.53% (0.175 0.18) 26.22% (0.18 0.18) 38.25% (-0.349 -0.35)
Both teams to score 53.43% (-0.572 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.83% (-0.74 -0.74)51.17% (0.746 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (-0.652 -0.65)73.02% (0.658 0.66)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (-0.246 -0.25)27.68% (0.255 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (-0.32 -0.32)63.24% (0.326 0.33)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88% (-0.533 -0.53)26.12% (0.54 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.82% (-0.722 -0.72)61.18% (0.72799999999999 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 35.53%
    Bristol Rovers 38.25%
    Draw 26.21%
Cambridge UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 8.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.96% (0.094 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.55% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35.53%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.23% (0.214 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 9.71% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.92% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.25%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Bristol Rovers

Cambridge United
22.9%
Draw
11.4%
Bristol Rovers
65.7%
35
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Cambridge
Taylor (17' og.), Coburn (56')
Ironside (35' pen.)
Digby (26')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol Rovers
4-1
Cambridge
Bodin (13', 42'), Harrison (61'), Sercombe (70')
Ikpeazu (66')
Dunk (3')
Mar 25, 2016 3pm
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Cambridge
Bodin (10', 18'), Taylor (73')

Berry (46'), Spencer (50'), Furlong (85')
Oct 30, 2015 7.45pm
Jan 8, 2005 3pm
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Cambridge
Agogo (25' pen.)
Trollope (87')
Tudor (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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