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League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Cambridge
1 - 2
Bristol Rovers

Smith (5')
Seddon (41'), Digby (48'), Lankester (89')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Coburn (21'), Sinclair (29')
Connolly (12'), Loft (14'), Coutts (56'), Marquis (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cambridge United 0-3 Bristol Rovers

Cambridge United might be able to boast the home advantage this weekend, but that does not mean that they will be the favourites heading into this match. The visitors have been in good form throughout the season, and their attacking quality should be enough to get the job done on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
35.53% (0.175 0.18) 26.22% (0.18 0.18) 38.25% (-0.349 -0.35)
Both teams to score 53.43% (-0.572 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.83% (-0.74 -0.74)51.17% (0.746 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (-0.652 -0.65)73.02% (0.658 0.66)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (-0.246 -0.25)27.68% (0.255 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (-0.32 -0.32)63.24% (0.326 0.33)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88% (-0.533 -0.53)26.12% (0.54 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.82% (-0.722 -0.72)61.18% (0.72799999999999 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 35.53%
    Bristol Rovers 38.25%
    Draw 26.21%
Cambridge UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 8.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.96% (0.094 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.55% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35.53%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.23% (0.214 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 9.71% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.92% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.25%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Bristol Rovers

Cambridge United
22.9%
Draw
11.4%
Bristol Rovers
65.7%
35
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Cambridge
Taylor (17' og.), Coburn (56')
Ironside (35' pen.)
Digby (26')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol Rovers
4-1
Cambridge
Bodin (13', 42'), Harrison (61'), Sercombe (70')
Ikpeazu (66')
Dunk (3')
Mar 25, 2016 3pm
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Cambridge
Bodin (10', 18'), Taylor (73')

Berry (46'), Spencer (50'), Furlong (85')
Oct 30, 2015 7.45pm
Jan 8, 2005 3pm
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Cambridge
Agogo (25' pen.)
Trollope (87')
Tudor (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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