Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-23s win with a probability of 53.12%. A win for Aston Villa Under-23s had a probability of 24.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.