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Premier League | Gameweek 12
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Burnley logo

Arsenal
3 - 1
Burnley

Trossard (45+1'), Saliba (57'), Zinchenko (74')
Vieira (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brownhill (54')
Berg Gudmundsson (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

Ten-man Arsenal rise to second in the Premier League table with a 3-1 win over Burnley, despite seeing Fabio Vieira sent off late on.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Burnley.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Burnley.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash with Burnley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Sevilla
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League

Burnley

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 0-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 69.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 13.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawBurnley
69.7% (0.137 0.14) 17.13% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08) 13.17% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 56.87% (0.123 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.43% (0.23400000000001 0.23)33.57% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.63% (0.265 0.27)55.37% (-0.26 -0.26)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.34% (0.093000000000004 0.09)8.66% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.15% (0.21899999999999 0.22)29.85% (-0.213 -0.21)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.27% (0.073 0.07)37.73% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49% (0.071000000000002 0.07)74.51% (-0.065999999999988 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 69.7%
    Burnley 13.17%
    Draw 17.13%
ArsenalDrawBurnley
2-0 @ 9.78% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.99% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 7.98% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 7.77% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.88% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.75% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.39% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.33% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.32% (0.02 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.13% (0.015 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.97% (0.012 0.01)
6-1 @ 0.95% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 69.7%
1-1 @ 7.79% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.64%
0-0 @ 3.27% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.13%
1-2 @ 3.8% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.18% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 13.17%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Burnley

Arsenal
81.5%
Draw
11.1%
Burnley
7.4%
135
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 23
Arsenal
0-0
Burnley
Westwood (25'), Brownhill (30')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Burnley
0-1
Arsenal

Barnes (19'), Westwood (29')
Odegaard (30')
Tavares (90+2')
> Match Report
Mar 6, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Burnley
1-1
Arsenal
Wood (39')
Pieters (71')
Aubameyang (6')
Saka (55')
> Match Report
Dec 13, 2020 7.15pm
Gameweek 12
Arsenal
0-1
Burnley

Bellerin (71'), Elneny (73')
Xhaka (58')
Aubameyang (73' og.)
Brady (33')
> Match Report
Feb 2, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 25
Burnley
0-0
Arsenal
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool65011221015
2Manchester CityMan City6420146814
3Arsenal6420125714
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa5401107312
6Fulham632185311
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle632187111
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
9Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs52129547
11Manchester UnitedMan Utd52125507
12Brentford6213810-27
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Everton6114715-84
16Leicester CityLeicester6033812-43
17Crystal Palace603359-43
18Ipswich TownIpswich503238-53
19Southampton501429-71
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves6015616-101
> Premier League Full Table


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