Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 at 7pm UK
Kingdom Arena
Al-Hilal3 - 1Al Ittihad
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Al Riyadh 0-3 Al-Hilal
Saturday, September 14 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Saturday, September 14 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 7-1 Al Wahda
Sunday, September 15 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Sunday, September 15 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
We said: Al-Hilal 3-2 Al Ittihad
While Al Ittihad will be brimming with confidence after that commanding win over Al Wehda last week, they are now set for their toughest test of the season against the defending champions, who have been just as impressive over the early stages of the campaign. This one could easily end in another goal-fest, but it is difficult to overlook Al-Hilal's home record, so we are going with the hosts to secure the points in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 66.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 15.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 3-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for an Al Ittihad win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Ittihad |
66.67% ( 0.6) | 17.47% ( 0.17) | 15.86% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 63.25% ( -2.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.09% ( -2.49) | 28.91% ( 2.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.13% ( -3.11) | 49.87% ( 3.1) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.89% ( -0.53) | 8.11% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.53% ( -1.34) | 28.47% ( 1.34) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.83% ( -2.49) | 31.17% ( 2.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.49% ( -3.01) | 67.5% ( 3) |
| Score Analysis |
Al-Hilal 66.67%
Al Ittihad 15.86%
Draw 17.47%
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Ittihad |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.74)3-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.46)1-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.74)4-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.31)4-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.28)5-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.18)4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.19)6-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.97% Total : 66.67% | 1-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.22)0-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.35)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.26)Other @ 0.36% Total : 17.47% | 1-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.1% Total : 15.86% |
How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al Ittihad
Al-Hilal
79.2%Draw
16.7%Al Ittihad
4.2%24
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2024 6pm
Mar 1, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 22
Al-Hilal
3-1
Al Ittihad
Sep 1, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 5
Al Ittihad
3-4
Al-Hilal
Form Guide
