Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 58.22%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 21.79% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.2%) and 3-1 (7.03%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.