Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 36.42%. A win for Instituto had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.18%) and 1-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Instituto win was 1-0 (12.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.