Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Feb 6, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Eva Peron de Junin
Sarmiento2 - 3Defensa
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Defensa y Justicia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-1 Sarmiento
Thursday, February 1 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Thursday, February 1 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 3-0 Platense
Wednesday, January 31 at 8.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Wednesday, January 31 at 8.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 35.35%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 2-1 (6.86%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (13.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sarmiento | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
35.35% ( -0.34) | 30.87% ( 0.23) | 33.77% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 39.89% ( -0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.26% ( -0.68) | 67.74% ( 0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.24% ( -0.45) | 85.76% ( 0.45) |
Sarmiento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.71% ( -0.6) | 36.28% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.93% ( -0.62) | 73.07% ( 0.62) |
Defensa y Justicia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.6% ( -0.31) | 37.39% ( 0.31) |