MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 19:17:27| >> :60:172:172:
Guatemala national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Sep 8, 2023 at 3.10am UK
Estadio Nacional Mateo Flores
El Salvador national football team

Guatemala
2 - 0
El Salvador

Mejia (15'), Altan (78')
Samayoa (47'), Saravia (47'), Mejia (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Martinez (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Guatemala and El Salvador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guatemala

All competitions
Last Game: Guatemala 0-0 Honduras
Sunday, September 3 at 11pm in International Friendlies

El Salvador

All competitions
Last Game: Panama 2-2 El Salvador
Wednesday, July 5 at 2am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

We said: Guatemala 1-0 El Salvador

 El Salvador may be 32 places above Guatemala in the FIFA rankings, but they appear to be a little thin and inexperienced in the attack. Los Chapines are coming off an impressive overall performance at the Gold Cup this past summer, and we believe the attacking quality of Mendez-Laing and Rubin could make the difference on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 18.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.

Result
GuatemalaDrawEl Salvador
56.53% (-6.082 -6.08) 25.03% (2.424 2.42) 18.44% (3.657 3.66)
Both teams to score 43.49% (0.429 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.59% (-3.355 -3.36)57.41% (3.354 3.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.78% (-2.736 -2.74)78.22% (2.735 2.74)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.7% (-3.503 -3.5)20.3% (3.502 3.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.33% (-5.908 -5.91)52.67% (5.907 5.91)
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.56% (2.811 2.81)45.44% (-2.811 -2.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.72% (2.131 2.13)81.28% (-2.132 -2.13)
Score Analysis
    Guatemala 56.52%
    El Salvador 18.44%
    Draw 25.02%
GuatemalaDrawEl Salvador
1-0 @ 14.7% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 11.72% (-1.17 -1.17)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-0 @ 6.23% (-1.437 -1.44)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.672 -0.67)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.936 -0.94)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.533 -0.53)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 56.52%
1-1 @ 11.6% (1.07 1.07)
0-0 @ 9.22% (1.12 1.12)
2-2 @ 3.65% (0.223 0.22)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 7.28% (1.37 1.37)
1-2 @ 4.58% (0.736 0.74)
0-2 @ 2.87% (0.717 0.72)
1-3 @ 1.2% (0.27 0.27)
2-3 @ 0.96% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 18.44%

How you voted: Guatemala vs El Salvador

Guatemala
51.5%
Draw
21.2%
El Salvador
27.3%
33
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2022 12.30am
International Friendly
El Salvador
0-4
Guatemala

(37')
Morales (25'), Santis (55', 59'), Robles (75')
Sep 25, 2021 1am
Friendlies 2
El Salvador
0-2
Guatemala
Ramirez (19'), Altan (21')
Jul 12, 2021 3.30am
Group Stage
El Salvador
2-0
Guatemala
Martinez (90+2')
Alfredo Morales Concua (32'), Carlos Pinto (34')
> Preview
Jun 27, 2021 4am
Friendlies 2
El Salvador
0-0
Guatemala
rhs 2.0
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