Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Antoniano0 - 1Lugo
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Antoniano and Lugo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burgos 0-1 Lugo
Saturday, May 27 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Saturday, May 27 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 65.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Antoniano had a probability of 13.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.44%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for an Antoniano win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lugo in this match.
Result | ||
Antoniano | Draw | Lugo |
13.23% ( -0.04) | 21.53% ( -0.02) | 65.24% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 42.31% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.08% ( -0.02) | 52.91% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.47% ( -0.01) | 74.52% ( 0.01) |
Antoniano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.08% ( -0.07) | 49.92% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.4% ( -0.05) | 84.6% ( 0.05) |
Lugo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.47% ( 0.01) | 15.52% ( -0.02) |